100,000 $$$ = 1 Bitcoin (Year 2040)

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May be, 100,000$ per Bitcoin by the year 2040. So, are you owning/holding/trading/investing in Bitcoin for next 20 years?

This is the bullish case. Different projections for Bitcoin price to go up to 100,000$ possibly by 2040. In the year 2017, we saw the last all time high (~20,000$). In 2019, we had another peak (~15,000). Due to Corona virus and current economic depression, we will possibly not see great growth until the recession starts to recover. However, all the peaks since the birth of Bitcoin is above the Bitcoin growth curve (yellow line that acts as the supporting base). The thin white lines are Bitcoin logarithmic growth curves which shows exponential growth of Bitcoin price leading to 1 million dollar by that time! However, that is overly optimistic. Bitcoin price is most likely follow the growth patterns shown with the green, red and purple lines. Those lines will reach 100,000$ mark in the year of 2031, 2035, 2038 respectively. And who knows, Bitcoin even can reach a 1 million dollar mark!! These lines may act as support and resistance many many times while keeping the same growth rate over a longer timeframe. This is speculation to persuade new Bitcoin users. Bitcoin only gains as long as it’s more used, owned and invested, just like any other assets. The only difference in the case of Bitcoin is that, the growth rate will be much faster as Bitcoin, being decentralized cryptocoin and with a finite supply and with the security provided by the proof of work, is less likely to be manipulated by any entity.

So, what’s the bearish case. On the other hand, if people start disbelieving in Bitcoin, or people lose a lot of money because Bitcoin’s security get compromised (unlikely!), or all the governments of all the countries decide to stop internet to block Bitcoin (unlikely!), or ban cryptocurrency exchanges or make them illegal like in some countries (likely!), or jail many many people for owning Bitcoin via fear mongering (unlikely!), or some other reasons for why speculators may lose interest, or some other crypto currency will reign over Bitcoin, Bitcoin price will not go as high as mentioned above(unlikely!). But, I believe it will still remain valuable (will stay above around the yellow line, maintaining around 20K price). Bitcoin will find itself in human history for a great experiment, no matter what.

But, why not taking the bet?

I am accumulating as many as possible. But when you invest, but we should also learn to diversify portfolio to spread the risk. Let’s say you have 1000 dollar, then put 50$ (5% of 1000$) at least in Bitcoin, and then the rest you can put in valuable company stocks, real estates or whatever else is your favorite. I’m more inclined to put more!

Let’s be the rational bitcoiner. There is only 21 million bitcoin, if you own 1 bitcoin you will get into the 21 million bitcoiner club, if you own 21 bitcoin you will get into the 1 million bitcoiner club.

#bitcoin #blockchain

<a href="https://www.tradingview.com/…/BTC…/mCKwLQ5z-100-000-Bitcoin/“>https://www.tradingview.com/…/BTC…/mCKwLQ5z-100-000-Bitcoin/

Bitcoin reaches 10,000$

CryptoCycle1
I have started my Crypto cycle Twitch TV for monthly Bitcoin/Cryptocurrency update.
Bitcoin has reached 10,000$ USD today. Last summer Bitcoin price has seen the high of ~13,500$ USD and then on, it was experiencing low price. Bitcoin has potential to break its last price ~20,000$ USD this year, because the money supply will be reduced in the summer of 2020.
 
I think I can do better job making videos now on. The background audio volume should have been reduced.
Coindesk news:

Bitcoin and a new world

I have coffee in Starbucks or Vienna everyday which cost me around 3-5$. And so do most of my friends here in US. This world has 7.8 billion people now. Out of them, about 3 billion people live below the poverty line which is around 3$. Every time I buy coffee, I never think about this. The realization that despite of all the wealth and innovation happening in this world, almost half of the population are unbanked, have no access to internet, world market, late alone credit card. I don’t envision that Bitcoin will solve the problem of poverty. But Bitcoin showed how currency can exist outside the realm of political and economic power which systemize the wealth hierarchy, define the line between poor and rich. Bitcoin has proven that a currency can be created out of the interest of people’s desire to trade between each other, definitely it happened because of the advent of computer, internet, open source software, you name it. I know it’s been speculated now as asset, get rich quick scheme (frankly I am also holding and speculating). Most general people are scared of the volatility, but I am talking about the core ideas that Satoshi Nakamoto had when he combined the idea of cryptocurrency and supply-demand economics for creating a digital currency for the world. Bitcoin movement is more than just money or a new innovation, it has the power of shifting the world. And that’s why I am a believer in a decentralized currency and frankly I don’t know how it will unravel in future and frankly nobody knows. Bitcoin will probably never be a currency, but it has shown the possibility. But it’s revolutionary to think that, every region in the world in future will have their own local cryptocurrency, born outside of politics and manipulation and the unbanked of the world have access to the economy. Well, there will always probably be politics, greed, manipulation; after all, we are sometimes just bunch of animals trying to beat each other for our own gains!! lol.. but I am looking at the big picture. I don’t envision a utopia but definitely I can see a better world. Also do you know what’s happening in Venezuela, everybody in Venezuela is buying Bitcoin because of the corruption of the government and the inflation. The problem is that it’s not that government is bad, ultimately we the people put officials there. It’s just that power and institutionalization corrupts mind and stagnates. We need a balance of the both, we need education, we need democracy, we need distribution of wealth and power. And as everyone says, it always depends on “Where is the money?” And Bitcoin showed but may be will be proven indirectly by many crypto currency movements over the future years, that money can exist outside of what we used to call money. And it’s mind boggling but we are living through the history that the future will talk about.
The political implications of bitcoin

Some thoughts on the inequality of Bitcoin ownership

Even if I am a proponent of Bitcoin, this bothers me. When Satoshi Nakamoto envisioned bitcoin as a payment protocol for everyone, one computer one vote, he was definitely unable to see how capitalism and the already accumulated money will also accumulate Bitcoin. I personally don’t identify myself as a capitalist, I actually dislike capitalism on many grounds, but at the same time, I know why and how it works, it’s not that there are many alternatives in the world. I understand Marxist, communist and socialist ideas but I fail to see how it can propel creativity and drive to move forward and change. It’s like a tradeoff and that’s why I probably like social democracy where they envision a balance of both. But with imperfection. Money is power and powerful always concentrate power and money for their own gains. Equal opportunity ought to be established but equal outcome we can never guarantee. The tension is always there. The concentration of Bitcoin in few places or few hands or few organizations go against the spirit of Bitcoin, as by protocol it is decentralized. But the fact is it is centralized in the big hands and this is the only reason I have against Bitcoin. And maybe that’s why I don’t believe completely that Bitcoin will be a currency for the future. I view it as a digital asset like digital gold which will be used as a store of value. But Bitcoin has shown us how money or value system or payment system can be created without a central money-making machine. I do believe that Bitcoin is better than government currency. I am against the spirit of nationalism and I think the national borders won’t make sense after few millennia and we will appreciate a global currency like Bitcoin. So, ultimately I want to say, Bitcoin will be there. But probably there will be a better currency which can surpass Bitcoin and which will probably not centralized. But then again that is Marxist, libertarian or anarchyst part of my brain talking. As I can see how capitalism is reigning in our world by the power, for the power, with the powerful, who knows Bitcoin might be the winner. Anyway, just some thoughts. I am not an astrologer who predicts future. I speculate and I miss.
 
The ethereum founder Vitalik Buterin also doesn’t believe in proof of work anymore. So, there are smart people who are already thinking about better solution already. That’s always our best bet for survival. Isn’t it? We need an einstein, we need a Nicola Tesla, we need few scientists, we need probably a work and innovation machine like Elon musk as most of us are just fooling around. Well, it’s too much for one little brain sometimes.
 
 

Which investment app to use?

Some of my friends ask me about investments in crypto space. You should already realize that Bitcoin/Crypto are high risk investments. So, you should be ready to lose money or be patient. If you are new into investment and want a much safer place to invest. My favorite apps are stash, robinhood and acorns. Each has its own advantage. Stash also has a very vibrant community that you can follow.

https://www.facebook.com/groups/StashInvestors/

There’s a nice comparison in this video:

The volatile Bitcoin

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Technical Analysis of last 300 days of Bitcoin price data.
 
The top rectangangular frame shows the bar chart(green and orange bars) of the bitcoin price. A bar chart represents the OHLC(open, high, low, close) price for a time period (in this case 1 day) for an asset/stock/cryptocoin.
 
Bollinger Band: You can see a band (the dotted red lines above and below and a grey line in between) around the bitcoin OHLC price. The grey line represents the average price of 20 days. When the bars are above the grey line, the price is being appreciated, when the bars are below the grey line, the price is being depreciated.
 
Relative Strength Index(RSI): The blue line in second rectangular frame below shows RSI. Relative strength index(RSI) represents when the bitcoin has been overbought (more bought than being sold –> leads to price hike) or when the bitcoin has been oversold (more sold than being bought –> leads to price drop). When the blue RSI line is abobe 80 (check in the left y axis), it’s normally overbought (price rise) and you can see direct correlation of price hike comparing with the price chart above, when the blue RSI line is below 20, it’s normally oversold (price drop). You can see, right now everyone is panicking and everyone is selling, nobody almost is buying, so price is dropping rapidly. Bitcoin has hit the lowest RSI value of the year.
 
Moving Average Convergence Divergence(MACD): The third rectangular frame below shows MACD value with grey bars, grey dotted line and a red dotted line. The red dotted line is the average price of 26 days and the grey dotted line is the average price of 12 days. When the grey line is above the red line, it means that the short term price is higher than the long term price, but when it is below, it means that current price is being depreciated from the long term accepted price. MACD is another momentum oscillator which is similar to RSI. You can directly see how it is similar by comparing them. It’s probably easier to read the MACD chart than the RSI. Because there’s the zero line (in RSI it probably represents the value 50) when the grey bars are above(upwards) zero line, it means price appreciation, versus when the grey bars are below zero line(downwards), it means price depreciation. As you can see the price is highly depreciated now.
 
Commodity Channel Index (CCI): The fourth rectangular frame below shows CCI value with red line and filled red polygons. If in between 100 and -100, the price is not taking any huge turn (bull ride or bear drop). The filled polygons above 100 show the extreme price hike, where as the polygons below -100 show the recent extreme price drop. Because of these polygons, it’s very easy to see the price movement with CCI index.
 
Hope you enjoyed learning some of the common techniques used to understand market price.
 
Chart plotted by Abdullah Khan Zehady using R (quantmod, TTR library) language. Please contact if you want to reuse for your own purpose.
 
If you think it was helpful and you learnt valuable information which can help you guide your investment, you can contribute my effort and encourage me by sending small gift via Bitcoin or Ethereum.
BTC Address: 1HXSMFpN1C6ruAutwRNQoR4uzqPLuMHzi1
ETH Address: 0x22bC6a74e5B29167D8AE40197193762A9AC60F81

Sharks on Bitcoin

What the big three sharks are saying. Somewhat dumb, somewhat great! Investor’s hat is definitely crucial, but not always the best. And I always love the entrepreneur’s hat. Who wouldn’t like to have the both hats with all different colors and taste!! 😉

Shark tank is a great platform that filters entrepreneurs, startup, growing business. If you haven’t known or watched shark tanks, you should definitely start. We human being are idea generators, everybody has ideas. Everytime you walk on the street or malls, you come up with ideas, it’s just the few who take the leap to materialize. Shark tank will give you some glimpse of what I just said, when you will see how innocuous, small ideas can go big if it’s under the right arm. Shark tank is one of the things that I like in both the fat, obese, dumb, racist in one hand and multicultural, smart, free, open, entrepreneurial North America on the other. LoL.;)
If you get the joke. Haha. You become what you choose to..
Here’s a great playlist for popular shark tank videos and roastings. Enjoy. 🙂

And subscribe to the Best of Shark Tank Channel to get more of these videos.

https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC8YLEQGzx-HpBuWRJbid8FA

Recent Crypto Coin Dynamics of Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple, Cardano, Litecoin, Stellar and Monero

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You will realize the significance level of the top 7 cryptocurrency if you look at this chart.
1. Bitcoin: BTC (Yellow dotted curve)
2. Ethereum: ETH (Blue dotted curve)
3. Litecoin: LTC (Aliceblue dotted curve)
4. Ripple: XMR (Orange dotted curve)
5. Cardano: ADA ( Brown dotted curve)
6. Stellar Lumen: XLM (Light green dotted curve)
7. Monero: XMR (Pink dotted curve)

This chart shows you the price of these 7 major crypto coins from September till now. If you look at the pink rectangle, you can realize how Ethereum(dark blue), Monero(pink), Litecoin(alice blue), Stellar(Light green) has higher price than bitcoin (yellow). But, they were not always higher, look during november, everything was less valued than bitcoin (yellow curve is at the top in Nov 2017). As Bitcoin’s price had an upward trend during the end of december, all the coin price also saw upward trend. But as Bitcoin’s price is going down, some coins are holding their value but some are losing their value. You can see, underneath the pink rectangle, falls the two coin Cardano(brown) and Ripple(Orange), these two coins are losing their value. However, Ripple had higher values in early January as you can see if you look at the last peak for all coins near Jan 2018. I never had too much confidence in Ripple as it somehow defeats the idea of crypto currency with its centralized feature (But who knows it may see light again if it can deliver its promises). Ultimately, money will flock to services which have higher utility and can gain trust.
So, these should give you some rough idea about the coin dynamics. A successful coin economy depends on how the market share or daily volume of trade is going on that coin landscape. It’s kind of similar to how Forex (Foreign Exchange market) market where currencies are traded moves, how US dollar influences Euro or Japanese Yen, or Chinese Renminbi, or Bangladeshi Taka. Hope you have an idea of evaluating crypto coins and their potential gains or losses over time and can make educated investment decisions. And I guess you can see how crypto exchange market is going to look like in future.

Bitcoin – how it was perceived in 2013?

A talk from 2013 at TED(Technlogy, Entertainment and Design). Watch the talk, and think what is different in the talk in 2013 from what it is now in 2018 after nearly 5 years. Enjoy!

Around the time, I first heard about bitcoin and got mind blown when I realized it could potentially give birth to a global currency. I’m lucky to find the talk for you all again, while exploring the TED talks. Even though Bitcoin was born with the dream of being a global curerncy, however, now a days, it’s mainly being treated as a digital gold or asset where you invest your money with the hope for making profit. But when I knew about Bitcoin, I didn’t get excited by it’s profit-making ability, rather, I was excited by how a currency can be established without the authority of any government by simply using some mathematics, cryptography and algorithms. The beauty of mathematics and the power of internet mesmerized me in significant way and I started learning more. Since then, it has evolved so much, it has experienced so much, it’s been popularized all around the world, criminalized in countries, stolen, hacked and what not ! So, it may not turn into a currency. Who will buy his coffee today with 0.00036 BTC(~ 3 USD) which may be 360 USD (when 1 BTC ~ 1,000,000 USD) ? It sounds foolish. But trust me I have bought my dinner in an Indian restaurant named Khana Khazana in West Lafayette with bitcoin which will be worth more than that in 2020. I don’t regret it, because I didn’t care, what will be it’s value in future, rather that I and the fellow bitcoiners were more excited to be able to use bitcoin to buy our food. So, may be, not bitcoin, but some other crypto currency will be a global coin. Governments will now create their own crypto coin(https://www.cnbc.com/2017/11/30/cryptocurrency-craze-springboards-government-backed-coin.html). But however the future will be, it’s gonna be an interesting one in terms of how we will use our money. When something is exciting, you can always smell it when you play with it, and this video just reminded me of my memories. Hope when I am old, I can say to my grandchildren that I was part of a monetary revolution.