Bernie took a big hit in South Carolina (Biden ~49% vs Bernie ~20%, diff is ~29%). I will never understand the South ! Biden got 29 delegates and Bernie got 9 with 99% reporting. But to remember the Nevada result where the result was reversed ( Bernie ~49% vs Biden ~20%, diff is ~29%). Bernie got 24 delegates from Nevada, whereas Biden got 9 delegates. However, Bernie is the leader with 54 delegates (Biden:44, Pete: 44, Warren: 8, Amy:7) in the race of winning 1991 delegates to get the democratic nomination. And possibly, billionaire Bloomberg will get into the race of delegates strongly with all his money soon.
You can’t win them all. But the question is – Will Biden come back with moderate narrative after this big win? That’s what rich donors and mainstream media and decent amount of old moderate democrats want.
Bernie is in advantage as super Tuesday is only 3 days away with +10% ahead in national poll aggregate on real clear politics.
However, most Bernie supporters expected much narrower loss of Bernie at South Carolina. This big win of Biden possibly have created a path for Biden, therefore for moderates, which will be determined in the performance in super Tuesday.
Bernie is basically fighting against everyone- all moderates (Biden, Pete, Amy), two rich billionaire with unlimited sum of money (Bloomberg, Steyer) and even with his fellow progressive Elizabeth Warren. In some way, it comes to Bernie’s advantage if the moderate votes get split among all moderates. But interestingly it’s not that simple. Votes get crisscrossed quite a bit. People are irrational ! It seems like Bernie is even the second choice for Biden’s supporters and Warren’s supporters. Apparently, most people vote for the specific candidate more than their political ideology.
So, is it again a 3 person’s race among Bernie, Biden and Bloomberg? Will Warren over perform in some state and take Bernie’s votes? Super Tuesday will answer it all.
No matter how much Bernie supporters want to win everywhere, it’s not going to come easy. It needs to be hard fought. And that is good. If the ultimate goal is to defeat Trump in general election, Bernie should pass every test. But I just wish, we all wish, if those test just are fair without foul plays.
But, man, how much I love this 78 year old fighter who will fight for people’s healthcare, education, climate and wars whereas everyone just is self-serving in thousand many ways. Sometimes I feel like this world really survives on few good people’s shoulder.
Thank you old man. You got the people power. Let’s cheer your name to cheer you up.